Consistent membership and premium growth by U.S. payer markets is expected to continue, according to new Kaufman Hall research. Premiums for the U.S. managed care market were estimated at $2.9 trillion for 2017. From 2011 to 2016, the industry grew at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.6 percent, as enrollment increased at a CAGR of 2.3 percent and implied price per member increased at a CAGR of approximately 2.3 percent. The industry is projected to grow at an annualized rate of about 6.6 percent from 2016 to 2021 (1.1 percent enrollment CAGR and 4.3 percent price CAGR).

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